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A family of stochastic models for droughts

 

作者: ZucchiniW.,   AdamsonP.T.,   McNeillL.,  

 

期刊: South African Journal of Plant and Soil  (Taylor Available online 1991)
卷期: Volume 8, issue 4  

页码: 206-211

 

ISSN:0257-1862

 

年代: 1991

 

DOI:10.1080/02571862.1991.10634835

 

出版商: Taylor&Francis Group

 

关键词: Drought;rainfall;simulation;stochastic model

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

There is no single quantitative definition of a drought; what constitutes a drought depends both on water needs and on storage capabilities. In this paper afamilyof models is proposed which is sufficiently flexible to cover a range of different situations; the user may select some of the parameters to suit his particular application. The input to the model is a sequence of rainfall values which in turn may be generated by a stochastic model, thus enabling the simulation of a long sequence of rainfall data which allow the user to study the distribution of droughts of any given duration or severity. Several of illustrative examples are given.

 

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