“Outside Agitators” and Crowds: Results from a Computer Simulation Model*
作者:
William E. Feinberg,
Norris R. Johnson,
期刊:
Social Forces
(OUP Available online 1988)
卷期:
Volume 67,
issue 2
页码: 398-423
ISSN:0037-7732
年代: 1988
DOI:10.1093/sf/67.2.398
出版商: The University of North Carolina Press
数据来源: OUP
摘要:
Computer simulation is used to investigate the success of an “outside agitator,” specifically the likelihood of a persistent extremist leading into “radical” action a gathering of moderates not otherwise disposed to militancy. The theoretical framework and computer simulation translation on which this work is based (Johnson&Feinberg forthcoming) assumes an ambiguous situation confronting a gathering in which each member can be located on a 10-point scale of action-choices. In the ensuing milling process, cues for action are offered and crowd members respond by shifting their choices and/or physical locations; thus, consensus for action is achieved and crowd structure emerges. In this test we generated a gathering of moderates and a persistently radical influence source, and varied whether gatherings initially maintained physical distance between themselves and the agitators. Results generally suggest that outside agitators usually cannot influence a crowd of moderates to take radical action. The variables most related to agitator success are crowd suggestibility, the action-choice advocated by the agitator, and the probability of movement within the physical space. Thus, the agitator is likely to be successful only in the specific and infrequent circumstances of a small gathering in a highly ambiguous situation in which the crowd members are not suspicious of the outsider. Outcomes showing the effects of microstructural conditions for emergent structure are also presented and discussed.
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