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The Development of Numerical Credit Evaluation Systems

 

作者: JamesH. Myers,   EdwardW. Forgy,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1963)
卷期: Volume 58, issue 303  

页码: 799-806

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1963

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1963.10500889

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Several discriminant and multiple regression analyses were performed on retail credit application data to develop a numerical scoring system for predicting credit risk in a finance company. Results showed that equal weights for all significantly predictive items were as effective as weights from the more sophisticated techniques of discriminant analysis and “stepwise multiple regression.” However, a variation of the basic discriminant analysis produced a better separation of groups at the lower score levels, where more potential losses could be eliminated with a minimum cost of potentially good accounts.

 

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