首页   按字顺浏览 期刊浏览 卷期浏览 A Time Series Analysis of Binary Data
A Time Series Analysis of Binary Data

 

作者: DanielMacrae Keenan,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1982)
卷期: Volume 77, issue 380  

页码: 816-821

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1982

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1982.10477892

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: Binary;Time series;Orthant probabilities;Kalman filter;Doubly stochastic process

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Binary datad1,d2, …,dnare assumed to be generated by an underlying real-valued, strictly stationary process, {Xk}, and a response functionF.For a given monotone nondecreasing functionFfromRto [0, 1],Dktakes on 1 with probabilityF(xk) and 0 with probability 1 -F(xk), whereXk= xk.It is shown that all strictly stationary binary processes are characterized by such a procedure. Several approximations to then-dimensional joint probabilities ofDkare developed whenXkis a Gaussian first-order autoregressive process. Model-building procedures and methods by which to estimate parameters of a given model are discussed. The predictor ofdn+ 1that minimizes probability of error among all randomized rules is determined and for certain cases a bound for this probability is found.

 

点击下载:  PDF (517KB)



返 回