Calibrated Seismic Verification of the Threshold Test Ban Treaty
作者:
Richard Picard,
Maurice Bryson,
期刊:
Journal of the American Statistical Association
(Taylor Available online 1992)
卷期:
Volume 87,
issue 418
页码: 293-299
ISSN:0162-1459
年代: 1992
DOI:10.1080/01621459.1992.10475208
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
关键词: Arms control;Bayesian methods;Calibration;Expert opinion;Verification technology
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
To improve verification of the Threshold Test Ban Treaty, the United States and Russia have embarked on an effort to make on-site yield measurements of each other's nuclear tests. Beyond their direct use in verification, these measurements also may prove useful in calibrating a monitoring system based on seismic magnitudes. The relative merits of seismic monitoring vis-a-vis on-site measurement have been at the core of a long-standing controversy. Many seismic verification problems hinge on statistical issues, including linear calibration based on a small data set and the formal use of expert opinion.
点击下载:
PDF (794KB)
返 回