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Calibrated Seismic Verification of the Threshold Test Ban Treaty

 

作者: Richard Picard,   Maurice Bryson,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1992)
卷期: Volume 87, issue 418  

页码: 293-299

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1992

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1992.10475208

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: Arms control;Bayesian methods;Calibration;Expert opinion;Verification technology

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

To improve verification of the Threshold Test Ban Treaty, the United States and Russia have embarked on an effort to make on-site yield measurements of each other's nuclear tests. Beyond their direct use in verification, these measurements also may prove useful in calibrating a monitoring system based on seismic magnitudes. The relative merits of seismic monitoring vis-a-vis on-site measurement have been at the core of a long-standing controversy. Many seismic verification problems hinge on statistical issues, including linear calibration based on a small data set and the formal use of expert opinion.

 

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