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Climatic warming and basal melting of large ice sheets: Possible implications for east Antarctica

 

作者: Marc R. Saari,   David A. Yuen,   Gerald Schubert,  

 

期刊: Geophysical Research Letters  (WILEY Available online 1987)
卷期: Volume 14, issue 1  

页码: 33-36

 

ISSN:0094-8276

 

年代: 1987

 

DOI:10.1029/GL014i001p00033

 

数据来源: WILEY

 

摘要:

Climatic warming is shown to be capable of inducing shear heating instability and basal melting in a model ice sheet that is creeping slowly downslope. Growth times of the instability are calculated from a nonlinear analysis of temperature and flow in the model ice sheet whose surface undergoes a prescribed increase of temperature. The source of instability lies in the decrease of maximum ice thickness for steady downslope creep with increasing surface temperature. A surface temperature increase of 5 to 10 K can cause instability on a 104year time scale for realistic ice rheology. The instability occurs suddenly after a prolonged period of dormancy. The instability might be relevant to the East Antarctic ice sheet. Warming associated with the Holocene interglacial epoch that heralded the end of the last ice age may have set the East Antarctic ice sheet on a course toward widespread instability some 104years later. The present CO2‐induced climate warming is also a potential trigger for instability and basal melting of the East Antarctic ice shee

 

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