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The lithosphere of the Earth as a nonlinear system with implications for earthquake prediction

 

作者: V. I. Keilis‐Borok,  

 

期刊: Reviews of Geophysics  (WILEY Available online 1990)
卷期: Volume 28, issue 1  

页码: 19-34

 

ISSN:8755-1209

 

年代: 1990

 

DOI:10.1029/RG028i001p00019

 

数据来源: WILEY

 

摘要:

The lithosphere of the Earth can be viewed as a hierarchy of volumes, from tectonic plates to grains of rock. Their relative movement against the forces of friction and cohesion is realized to a large extent through earthquakes. The movement is controlled by a wide variety of independent processes, concentrated in the thin boundary zones between the volumes. A boundary zone has a similar hierarchical structure, consisting of volumes, separated by boundary zones, etc. Altogether, these processes transform the lithosphere into a large nonlinear system, featuring instability and deterministic chaos. From this background some integral grossly averaged empirical regularities emerge, indicating a wide range of similarity, collective behavior, and the possibility of intermediate‐term earthquake predictio

 

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