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Flexible Methods for Analyzing Survival Data Using Splines, with Applications to Breast Cancer Prognosis

 

作者: RobertJ. Gray,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1992)
卷期: Volume 87, issue 420  

页码: 942-951

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1992

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1992.10476248

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: Breast cancer;Censored data;Penalized likelihood;Proportional hazards;Splines

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

In this article some flexible methods for modeling censored survival data using splines are applied to the problem of modeling the time to recurrence of breast cancer patients. The basic idea is to use fixed knot splines with a fairly modest number of knots to model aspects of the data, and then to use penalized partial likelihood to estimate the parameters of the model. Test statistics are proposed which are analogs of those used in traditional likelihood analysis, and approximations to the distributions of these statistics are suggested. In an analysis of a large data set taken from clinical trials conducted by the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group, these methods are seen to give useful insight into how prognosis varies as a function of continuous covariates, and also into how covariate effects change with follow-up time.

 

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