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Forecasting donors and donations

 

作者: Mark Britto,   Robert M. Oliver,  

 

期刊: Journal of Forecasting  (WILEY Available online 1986)
卷期: Volume 5, issue 1  

页码: 39-55

 

ISSN:0277-6693

 

年代: 1986

 

DOI:10.1002/for.3980050105

 

出版商: John Wiley&Sons, Ltd.

 

关键词: Fund raising;Seasonal forecasting;Promotional campaigns

 

数据来源: WILEY

 

摘要:

AbstractThe authors propose and evaluate a statistical model to make forecasts of donors, gifts and cumulative private donations to an educational fund. Within‐season forecasts and confidence intervals are based on binomial counts of donors and a compound Poisson distribution for cumulative donations. Forecasts for the 1984‐1985 fiscal year are based on data obtained in the previous two years. The effects of different promotional campaigns are stud

 

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