Partitioning of a Patient Population with Respect to Different Mortality Risks
作者:
SidneyJ. Cutler,
LillianM. Axtell,
期刊:
Journal of the American Statistical Association
(Taylor Available online 1963)
卷期:
Volume 58,
issue 303
页码: 701-712
ISSN:0162-1459
年代: 1963
DOI:10.1080/01621459.1963.10500880
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
Three non-parametric models are presented for describing the survival experience of patients with chronic disease. Model I assumes that two independent forces of mortality (disease specific and normal) act simultaneously on the total patient population. If after a number of intervals the observed survival experience approximates a normal level, a cure rate can be estimated and the survival pattern described according to Model II: ac-fraction subject only to normal mortality and a (1–c)-fraction subject to an additional mortality risk. If the observed survival appears to be stabilizing at a level somewhat lower than normal, the data fit Model III: a c′-fraction subject to a mortality risk somewhat higher than normal, and a (1–c′)-fraction subject to a high additional mortality risk. When there is no evidence of stabilization of interval survival rates, no cure rate can be estimated and only Model I is applicable. Models I and II can be considered as special cases of Model III.
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