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The monetary approach to the balance of payments and the IMF model of financial programming

 

作者: RANJIT SAU,  

 

期刊: International Journal of Systems Science  (Taylor Available online 1994)
卷期: Volume 25, issue 5  

页码: 929-942

 

ISSN:0020-7721

 

年代: 1994

 

DOI:10.1080/00207729408929008

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

The monetary approach to the balance of payments has, in essence, two theorems: (i) The foreign assets of the central bank are negatively related to its domestic assets; (ii) the excess supply of money causes, and is equivalent to, the trade deficit. This paper tests these theorems for India using OLS, 2SLS, and co-integration, error-correction modelling. The IMF-supported adjustment programs are based upon the monetary approach to the balance of payments. It is shown that the first theorem may be refuted in a framework of general equilibrium with Keynesian features. Hence, it is concluded that the model of the economy should be estimated first in order to derive action parameters and performance criteria for stabilizing the economy.

 

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