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Performance of the Durbin-Watson Test and WLS Estimation When the Disturbance Term Includes Serial Dependence in Addition to First-Order Autocorrelation

 

作者: JeanE. Weber,   DavidE. Monarchi,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1982)
卷期: Volume 77, issue 377  

页码: 117-128

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1982

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1982.10477774

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: Durbin-Watson test;Linear regression;Robustness;Serial dependence;Simulation;WLS estimation

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Monte Carlo simulation is used to study the power of the Durbin-Watson test and the properties of the corresponding weighted least squares (WLS) estimates when there is serial correlation in the disturbance term, in addition to first-order autocorrelation. The results indicate that the Durbin-Watson test detects first-order autocorrelation, even when other forms of serial dependence are also present. However, routine use of WLS estimation when the Durbin-Watson test is significant may result in inaccurate and inefficient parameter estimates. Therefore, this procedure should be used with caution unless there is a priori knowledge concerning the nature of any serial dependence in the disturbance terms.

 

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