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PREDICTIVE VALIDITY OF A LINEAR REGRESSION EQUATION

 

作者: M. W. Browne,  

 

期刊: British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology  (WILEY Available online 1975)
卷期: Volume 28, issue 1  

页码: 79-87

 

ISSN:0007-1102

 

年代: 1975

 

DOI:10.1111/j.2044-8317.1975.tb00550.x

 

出版商: Blackwell Publishing Ltd

 

数据来源: WILEY

 

摘要:

The squared correlation coefficient,w2, between an empirically chosen linear function of predictors, B̂0+ B̂′x, and a criterion,y, is employed as a measure of predictive precision. This coefficient is defined over the entire population but is conditional on B̂. Assuming a multinormal distribution for x and y, approximations for the expected value and variance ofw2are derived. If too many predictors are employed, precision of prediction can decrease. This is illustrated by means of an example of a sequence of values of ℰ (w2). A function of the sample squared multiple correlation coefficient,r2, is proposed as an estimator ofw2. Results of Monte Carlo experiments are employed to give an impression of the precision of the estimates ofw2, and the accuracy of the approximations for ℰ (w2) and

 

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