Box‐jenkins modelling of some viral infectious diseases
作者:
Ulrich Helfenstein,
期刊:
Statistics in Medicine
(WILEY Available online 1986)
卷期:
Volume 5,
issue 1
页码: 37-47
ISSN:0277-6715
年代: 1986
DOI:10.1002/sim.4780050107
出版商: Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company
关键词: Box‐Jenkins method;Chicken‐pox;Mumps;Epidemiological models;Time series
数据来源: WILEY
摘要:
AbstractDuring the last few years Box‐Jenkins models have become of increasing importance in such fields as economics and industry. They have been used for forecasting and for detecting relations between different time series. Similar applications are also relevant in epidemiology.Since many people who are concerned with the analysis of medical data are not familiar with this subject, a short non‐technical introduction to Box‐Jenkins models is given. The model‐building process is demonstrated in some detail using monthly case reports of the two seasonal endemic diseases chicken‐pox and mumps, and the relation between these two time series is investigated. It is found that both diseases may be represented by simple models which have basically the same statistical structure and that they are related at time‐lag O but not at othe
点击下载:
PDF
(621KB)
返 回