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Monitoring Schemes in Short-term Forecasting

 

作者: GolderE. R.,   SettleJ. G.,  

 

期刊: Journal of the Operational Research Society  (Taylor Available online 1976)
卷期: Volume 27, issue 2  

页码: 489-501

 

ISSN:0160-5682

 

年代: 1976

 

DOI:10.1057/jors.1976.94

 

出版商: Taylor&Francis

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

AbstractA necessary ingredient of a practical short-term forecasting system in which the parameters of the demand model are not adaptive is some form of monitoring to detect changes in the demand pattern for which the model is inadequate. There are two major automatic methods currently in use for accomplishing this aim. The present paper compares the performances of these two schemes by the use of simulation and gives tables which may be used as a basis for the selection of a suitable scheme in a variety of situations.

 

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