On the Expected Number of Cancer Deaths During Follow-Up of an Initially Cancer-Free Cohort
作者:
Peter Sasieni,
期刊:
Epidemiology
(OVID Available online 2003)
卷期:
Volume 14,
issue 1
页码: 108-110
ISSN:1044-3983
年代: 2003
出版商: OVID
关键词: cohort studies;expected number of deaths;standardized mortality ratio;cancer screening
数据来源: OVID
摘要:
A comparison of expected number of deaths with the observed is a widely used method with an extensive history. Epidemiologists often study the mortality rate from a particular cancer in an initially healthy population. Using cause-specific mortality rates from a reference population will overestimate the expected number of deaths because it does not take into account the fact that the study cohort is initially cancer free. It is more accurate to calculate the expected number of deaths by explicitly considering the probability of getting cancer in a given year and the probability of dying from it before the end of the follow-up.
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