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“Explaining Your Results” as Access-Biased Memory

 

作者: EdwardE. Leamer,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1975)
卷期: Volume 70, issue 349  

页码: 88-93

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1975

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1975.10480267

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

This article presents an inference-cum-memory model with uncertain parameterpand binomial data. The model is intended to represent the phenomenon especially common in the social sciences of explaining the results of a statistical calculation. The principal assumptions of the model are that experiments, not sufficient statistics, are stored in memory, and that the experiments are categorized by and accessed according to their implications for inference. The nonsample information thereby generated is weaker than it appears. In the context of this model, optimal memory interrogation involves search for previous experiments that slightly contradict the current evidence.

 

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