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New Estimates of the Number of Centenarians in the United States

 

作者: JacobS. Siegel,   JeffreyS. Passel,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1976)
卷期: Volume 71, issue 355  

页码: 559-566

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1976

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1976.10481529

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Four bases, with variants, of estimating the number of centenarians in the United States are described: (a) direct use of Medicare records; (b) the forward-survival method; (c) the vital statistics method; and (d) population reconstruction using death statistics. Estimates for each year, 1950, 1960, and 1970, for sex and race groups are presented separately and compared with the census counts. The plausibility and accuracy of the estimates derived by the various methods are discussed, as well as possible reasons for the overstatement of centenarians in recent censuses.

 

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