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Expectations, learning and empirical macroeconomic models

 

作者: DAVID CURRIE,   STEPHEN HALL,  

 

期刊: International Journal of Systems Science  (Taylor Available online 1994)
卷期: Volume 25, issue 5  

页码: 849-869

 

ISSN:0020-7721

 

年代: 1994

 

DOI:10.1080/00207729408929003

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

The developments in the treatment of expectations in empirical macroeconomic models that have taken place over the last 30 years are surveyed. The main concern is to focus on the implications of expectation effects in the practical use of models, i.e. in forecasting and policy analysis, rather than to consider either the theoretical literature or the literature on econometric estimation and identification, both of which are already well surveyed. The general development in expectations models is discussed first. Then the literature on linear models is considered and the development of expectations effects to large nonlinear econometric models is examined.

 

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