Adaptive forecasting techniques
作者:
STEPHEND. ROBERTS,
D. CLAY WHYBARK,
期刊:
International Journal of Production Research
(Taylor Available online 1974)
卷期:
Volume 12,
issue 6
页码: 635-645
ISSN:0020-7543
年代: 1974
DOI:10.1080/00207547408919582
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
The class of exponential smoothing models which vary the values of their parameters to adapt to changing conditions in a time series are referred to as adaptive forecasting techniques. In this article criteria for evaluating forecasting models are presented and the features of a simple exponential smoothing model that are exploited by the adaptive techniques are discussed. Several adaptive forecasting schemes are described and classified, and examples of the performance of these techniques are presented.
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