Exploring natural and anthropogenic variation of climate
作者:
S. Manabe,
T. R. Knutson,
R. J. Stouffer,
T. L. Delworth,
期刊:
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
(WILEY Available online 2001)
卷期:
Volume 127,
issue 571
页码: 1-24
ISSN:0035-9009
年代: 2001
DOI:10.1002/qj.49712757102
出版商: John Wiley&Sons, Ltd
关键词: Climate change;Climate modelling;Low‐frequency variability
数据来源: WILEY
摘要:
AbstractThis lecture discusses the low‐frequency variability of surface temperature using a coupled ocean‐atmosphere‐land‐surface model developed at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/NOAA. Despite the highly idealized parametrization of various physical processes, the coupled model simulates reasonably well the variability of local and global mean surface temperature. The first half of the lecture explores the basic physical mechanisms responsible for the variability. The second half examines the trends of local surface temperature during the last half century in the context of decadal variability simulated by the couple
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