Deterministic models for common childhood diseases
作者:
DAVID GREENHALGH,
期刊:
International Journal of Systems Science
(Taylor Available online 1990)
卷期:
Volume 21,
issue 1
页码: 1-20
ISSN:0020-7721
年代: 1990
DOI:10.1080/00207729008910344
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
Simple deterministic mathematical models for the spread of common childhood diseases are considered. The population is divided into compartments containing susceptible, infectious and immune individuals. The spread of the disease is modelled by a set of differential equations which describe the transfer of individuals between these classes. Some equilibrium and stability results are described and numerical investigations presented which support the analytical results. In these numerical investigations we pay particular attention to whether the level of disease will damp down to a steady equilibrium value and to various methods of predicting the periods of disease cycles.
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