Changes in the Rate and Components of Household Formation
作者:
ShermanJ. Maisel,
期刊:
Journal of the American Statistical Association
(Taylor Available online 1960)
卷期:
Volume 55,
issue 290
页码: 268-283
ISSN:0162-1459
年代: 1960
DOI:10.1080/01621459.1960.10482062
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
In the prediction of future household formation, it proves useful to separate movements caused by population changes from those caused by shifts in the occurrence rates of households among a given population. The varying rates of occurrence reflect the differential impacts of economic vairables and social change. This study indicates that until better data are available, forecasts of households will have to rely primarily upon judgment. This can be gained from an analysis of past data plus information carried over from related series which have more frequent observations. No single statistical function can be found to express the manner in which the Census estimates of households have moved. This apparent lack of correlation reflects the need to average several years' data to obtain accuracy. It also stems from relatively few past observations, and the likelihood that significant structural shifts have occurred and have altered past economic relationships.
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