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Statistics and Causal Inference

 

作者: PaulW. Holland,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1986)
卷期: Volume 81, issue 396  

页码: 945-960

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1986

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1986.10478354

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: Causal model;Philosophy;Association;Experiments;Mill's methods;Causal effect;Koch's postulates;Hill's nine factors;Granger causality;Path diagrams;Probabilistic causality

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Problems involving causal inference have dogged at the heels of statistics since its earliest days. Correlation does not imply causation, and yet causal conclusions drawn from a carefully designed experiment are often valid. What can a statistical model say about causation? This question is addressed by using a particular model for causal inference (Holland and Rubin 1983; Rubin 1974) to critique the discussions of other writers on causation and causal inference. These include selected philosophers, medical researchers, statisticians, econometricians, and proponents of causal modeling.

 

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