首页   按字顺浏览 期刊浏览 卷期浏览 Risk and the discount rate in forestry
Risk and the discount rate in forestry

 

作者: W. David Klemperer,   James F. Cathcart,   Thomas Häring,   Ralph J. Alig,  

 

期刊: Canadian Journal of Forest Research  (NRC Available online 1994)
卷期: Volume 24, issue 2  

页码: 390-397

 

ISSN:0045-5067

 

年代: 1994

 

DOI:10.1139/x94-052

 

出版商: NRC Research Press

 

数据来源: NRC

 

摘要:

One of the most common ways to account for investment risk is to add a risk premium to the risk-free discount rate when computing present values of expected revenues which are uncertain. Using certainty-equivalent analysis, we show that the correct risk premium for short-term investments can easily be in the commonly used 7-percentage-point range. But for such risk premiums to be appropriate for long-term forestry investments, the necessary certainty-equivalent conditions often seem to be unreasonably restrictive. Results suggest that the appropriate risk premium may decline with lengthening payoff period for many forest investments. Limited empirical data provide tentative support, but more research is needed to resolve the issue. We review policy implications and suggest areas for further research.

 

点击下载:  PDF (160KB)



返 回