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A Birthday Problem Solution for Nonuniform Birth Frequencies

 

作者: ThomasS. Nunnikhoven,  

 

期刊: The American Statistician  (Taylor Available online 1992)
卷期: Volume 46, issue 4  

页码: 270-274

 

ISSN:0003-1305

 

年代: 1992

 

DOI:10.1080/00031305.1992.10475901

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: Discrete uniform distribution;Matching problem;Occupancy problem

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

In the classical birthday problem it is assumed that the distribution of births is uniform throughout the year. Actual United States births, however, follow a seasonal pattern varying between 5% below and 7% above, relative to the average daily frequency of 1/365. We develop a recursive formula for the birthday problem when birthrates are not uniform and use it to show that the difference from the classical solution, for U.S. births, is small. The match probability can be written in terms of the classical solution plus a series of terms which rapidly approach zero.

 

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