Forecasting daily peak load by a deterministic prediction method employing Gram‐Schmidt orthonormalization
作者:
Yuichi Mizukami,
Toshiro Nishimori,
Junko Okamoto,
Kazuyuki Aihara,
期刊:
Electrical Engineering in Japan
(WILEY Available online 1996)
卷期:
Volume 116,
issue 1
页码: 70-79
ISSN:0424-7760
年代: 1996
DOI:10.1002/eej.4391160107
出版商: Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company
关键词: Power demand prediction;chaos;fractals;embedding;Gram‐Schmidt orthonormalization;deterministic prediction
数据来源: WILEY
摘要:
AbstractA technique for forecasting daily peak load in a utility power system is presented. After embedding time series data of daily peak load into a reconstructed state space, a nonlinear mapping is constructed by a local approximation method based on the orthonormal Gram‐Schmidt bases. This method utilizes only the past load data for short‐term prediction of the daily peak load, while many conventional methods make predictions with various kinds of data such as temperature and weather. The quality of prediction by the proposed method is as good as those with other prediction methods. Moreover, the results of short‐term prediction by this method are satisfactory even with data as small as 250 p
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