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State space approach to the term structure of interest rates

 

作者: P. CARAVANI,   L. FIGLIUOLI,  

 

期刊: International Journal of Systems Science  (Taylor Available online 1987)
卷期: Volume 18, issue 5  

页码: 913-925

 

ISSN:0020-7721

 

年代: 1987

 

DOI:10.1080/00207728708964018

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Three models for term structure, classical liquidity preference and preferred habitat and the general form of the expectations formation mechanism are studied in the comprehensive format of a state space model. On the assumption of a finite horizon, the advantages of the state space approach are pointed out with reference to parameter estimation and forecasting. One-period current rates are then viewed as policy instruments to control the term structure. A policy based on stochastic optimal control is analysed. Finally, the theoretical implications of the state space approach are discussed with reference to the implicit information market underlying the term structure.

 

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