Alternative Models for the Heterogeneity of Mortality Risks among the Aged
作者:
KennethG. Manton,
Eric Stallard,
JamesW. Vaupel,
期刊:
Journal of the American Statistical Association
(Taylor Available online 1986)
卷期:
Volume 81,
issue 395
页码: 635-644
ISSN:0162-1459
年代: 1986
DOI:10.1080/01621459.1986.10478316
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
关键词: Cohort mortality;Gompertz function;Weibull function;Gamma distribution;Inverse Gaussian distribution;Natural exponential family distributions;Medicare mortality rates;Lung cancer mortality;Survival analysis
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
To develop a model to estimate the degree of unobserved heterogeneity in morality risks in a population, it is necessary to specify two types of functions, one describing the age-specific rate of increase of mortality risks for individuals and the other describing the distribution of mortality risks across individuals. There has been considerable interest in the question of how sensitive the estimates of heterogeneity are to the choices of these functions. To explore this question, high-quality data were obtained from published Medicare mortality rates for the period 1968–1978 for analysis of total mortality among the aged. In addition, national vital statistics data for the period 1950–1977 were used to analyze adult lung cancer mortality. For these data, the estimates of structural parameters were less sensitive to reasonable choices of the heterogeneity distribution (gamma vs. inverse Gaussian) than to reasonable choices of the hazard rate function (Gompertz vs. Weibull).
点击下载:
PDF (1060KB)
返 回