首页   按字顺浏览 期刊浏览 卷期浏览 Parameter estimation of macroeconomic systems under rational expectations
Parameter estimation of macroeconomic systems under rational expectations

 

作者: R. SHIVA,   K. Y. LEE,   J. A. PARKER,  

 

期刊: International Journal of Systems Science  (Taylor Available online 1987)
卷期: Volume 18, issue 6  

页码: 1121-1137

 

ISSN:0020-7721

 

年代: 1987

 

DOI:10.1080/00207728708964036

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Despite the theoretical appeal of the rational expectations hypothesis, practical problems arising in the estimation and testing of models that incorporate it have yet to be resolved. Many alternatives have been proposed, but even though these approaches have been extensively examined and compared on a theoretical level, little is known about their estimation properties. This paper attempts to provide preliminary Monte-Carlo evidence on the empirical properties of the ‘reduced-torm’ and ‘structural-form’ estimators proposed as alternatives in the implementation of the substitution approach. When applied to the basic models, the two solution methods yield similar results. However, under autocorrelated errors, the structural form estimator performs much better. An alternative adaptive estimator is also examined and found to be far superior to the off-line estimation method when the parameters vary over time.

 

点击下载:  PDF (582KB)



返 回