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River flow forecasting for multiple time periods

 

作者: Donald H. Burn,  

 

期刊: Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering  (NRC Available online 1988)
卷期: Volume 15, issue 1  

页码: 58-65

 

ISSN:0315-1468

 

年代: 1988

 

DOI:10.1139/l88-006

 

出版商: NRC Research Press

 

数据来源: NRC

 

摘要:

The performance of a river flow forecasting model employing a Kalman filtering algorithm was evaluated for increasing forecast lead times. The expected decrease in forecast accuracy was quantified and a decrease in forecast precision was noted for increased lead times. The merits of external estimates of meteorological inputs to the model were evaluated through an examination of different forecasting options. It was revealed that even noisy estimates of meteorological events improved the flow forecasts.Key words: forecasting, Kalman filter, real time, precipitation, snowmelt.

 

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