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Using Information from Demographic Analysis in Post-Enumeration Survey Estimation

 

作者: WilliamR. Bell,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1993)
卷期: Volume 88, issue 423  

页码: 1106-1118

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1993

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1993.10476381

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: Census undercount;Correlation bias;Dual-system estimation

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Population estimates from the 1990 Post-Enumeration Survey (PES), used to measure decennial census undercount, were obtained from dual system estimates (DSE's) that assumed independence within strata defined by age-race-sex-geography and other variables. We make this independence assumption for females, but develop methods to avoid the independence assumption for males within strata by using national level sex ratios from demographic analysis (DA). This is done by using DSE results for females and the DA sex ratios to determine national level control totals for male population by age-race groups. These control totals are then used to determine some function of the individual strata 2 × 2 table probabilities for males that is assumed constant across strata within age-race groups. One such candidate function is the cross-product ratio, but other functions can be used that lead to different DSEs. We consider several such alternative DSE's, and use DA results for 1990 to apply them to data from the 1990 U.S. census and PES.

 

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