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The Probability Distribution of the Number of Survivors in a Two-Sided Combat Situation

 

作者: SmithDavid G.,  

 

期刊: Journal of the Operational Research Society  (Taylor Available online 1965)
卷期: Volume 16, issue 4  

页码: 429-437

 

ISSN:0160-5682

 

年代: 1965

 

DOI:10.1057/jors.1965.78

 

出版商: Taylor&Francis

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

AbstractIn a recent paper,“The dynamics of military combat”, Brackney categorized the types of combat situation into nine separate, clearly defined situations. Another recent paper by Brown,“Theory of combat. The probability of winning”, uses a two-variable recurrence formula to evaluate the probabilities that one side will win on given assumptions. This effectively covered the pair of probabilities for five out of the nine situations.This present paper deals with the generation of the probability distribution of the number of survivors in all nine of these situations on the same assumptions as Brown. Further these distributions are shown to yield the results obtained by Brown as the totals of the two arrays of the complete distribution in the five cases common to both papers.

 

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