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Expert System for Statistical Distributions Used In Flood Frequency Analysis

 

作者: FoddaF.,   AshkarF.,   BobdeB.,  

 

期刊: International Journal of Modelling and Simulation  (Taylor Available online 1993)
卷期: Volume 13, issue 1  

页码: 1-3

 

ISSN:0228-6203

 

年代: 1993

 

DOI:10.1080/02286203.1993.11760168

 

出版商: Taylor&Francis

 

关键词: Words Flood frequency;Statistical estimation;Expert system

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

AbstractAccurate estimation of extreme flood events having a specified probability of occurrence is a key element in the planning and operation of water resources systems. Guidelines that specify a particular approach (statistical distribution and fitting technique) for flood-flow frequency determination have been introduced by a number of counlries seeking uniformity in the management of their water resources among government and private agencies. We present an expert system thet gives a general framework for choosing among distributions and among the most commonly used fitting techniques (methods for parameter estimation) for these distributions. The expert system will make it easier to see some of the advantages and disadvantages of each method. In particular, the system would be used (a) to help the user decide about the criteria of independence, homogeneity, stationarity, and outliers in the sample; (b) to help the user decide about the results of the fitting operations by providing a large number of fitting methods and statistical distributions as options; and (c) to provide graphical options.

 

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