A Critique of Three Methodologies for Estimating the Probability of Containment Failure Due to Steam Explosions
作者:
BermanMarshall,
期刊:
Nuclear Science and Engineering
(Taylor Available online 1987)
卷期:
Volume 96,
issue 3
页码: 173-191
ISSN:0029-5639
年代: 1987
DOI:10.13182/NSE87-A16380
出版商: Taylor&Francis
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
AbstractAt least three distinct approaches have been employed for estimating the conditional probability of containment failure due to steam explosions within the pressure vessel of a water-cooled nuclear reactor. These approaches, which involve varying degrees of subjectivity and objectivity, are reviewed. It is concluded that, given the current state of knowledge, all approaches involve significant uncertainties; no method is currently capable of credibly defending any given value of failure probability or a narrow uncertainty range.
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