Sequencing techniques for project screening
作者:
José B. Martinez y Rodriguez,
S. O. Russell,
期刊:
Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering
(NRC Available online 1976)
卷期:
Volume 3,
issue 1
页码: 90-97
ISSN:0315-1468
年代: 1976
DOI:10.1139/l76-009
出版商: NRC Research Press
数据来源: NRC
摘要:
Often in the early stages of planning a major development it is necessary to consider a large number of alternative individual projects and alternative sequences of projects. The main problem at this stage is to screen out the less desirable projects quickly so that only a manageable number of the more promising ones remain for detailed study. A number of simple techniques are presented which can be used to assist the screening process. These include a method for finding the sequence of projects which will meet one or more projected demands at minimum discounted cost, and making a sensitivity test of the results; a method for finding the sequence of projects which would yield the maximum present value of benefits; and a way of finding the optimal planning horizon for facilities where there are economies of scale. A comparison is given between results obtained by the sequencing technique presented and results from a more rigorous but more elaborate and time consuming method for the case of multiple demands.
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