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Modelling uncertainty in natural resource analysis using fuzzy sets and Monte Carlo simulation: slope stability prediction

 

作者: TREVOR J. DAVIS,   C. PETER KELLER,  

 

期刊: International Journal of Geographical Information Science  (Taylor Available online 1997)
卷期: Volume 11, issue 5  

页码: 409-434

 

ISSN:1365-8816

 

年代: 1997

 

DOI:10.1080/136588197242239

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

The techniques of fuzzy logic and Monte Carlo simulation are combined to address two incompatible types of uncertainty present in most natural resource data: thematic classification uncertainty and variance in unclassified continuously distributed data. The resultant model of uncertainty is applied to an infinite slope stability model using data from Louise Island, British Columbia. Results are summarized so as to answer forestry decision support queries. The proposed model of uncertainty in resource data analysis is found to have utility in combining different types of uncertainty, and efficiently utilizing available metadata. Integration of uncertainty data models with visualization tools is considered a necessary prerequisite to effective implementation in decision support systems.

 

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