A Class of Distributions Applicable to Accidents
作者:
CarolB. Edwards,
John Gurland,
期刊:
Journal of the American Statistical Association
(Taylor Available online 1961)
卷期:
Volume 56,
issue 295
页码: 503-517
ISSN:0162-1459
年代: 1961
DOI:10.1080/01621459.1961.10480641
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
This paper presents an extension of the mathematical model used to justify accident proneness. It assumes that the distribution of accidents incurred by an individual in non-overlapping intervals is a correlated bivariate Poisson (C.B.P.). On compounding this correlated bivariate Poisson through a Gamma distribution an extended bivariate negative binomial or, more precisely, a compound correlated bivariate Poisson (C.C.B.P.) distribution is obtained. Recurrence relations and expressions for the required probabilities are illustrated for two sets of data. The C.C.B.P. proved to fit as well as the bivariate negative binomial when the estimate of B12was close to zero, and much better than the latter distribution when the estimate of B12 was not close to zero.
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