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Simulation Model of Gypsy Moth Introduced into Michigan Forests1

 

作者: J. G. Morse,   G. A. Simmons,  

 

期刊: Environmental Entomology  (OUP Available online 1979)
卷期: Volume 8, issue 2  

页码: 293-299

 

ISSN:0046-225X

 

年代: 1979

 

DOI:10.1093/ee/8.2.293

 

出版商: Oxford University Press

 

数据来源: OUP

 

摘要:

A computer simulation model was constructed to organize existing data and explore possible results of actions taken to manage colonizing populations ofLymantria dispar(L.). The model consisted of a forest submodel, a gypsy moth population sub model and a tree mortality submodel. Various control policies were examined on poor, medium and good forest sites over an 80-yr period. Current eradication policies fail owing to low density survival of portions of the populations. Periodic management of moderate to high gypsy moth populations is effective and can be accomplished at lower cost due to fewer sprays being required over time. Trees growing on poor sites are most subject to mortality from defoliation due to less foliage surface area available for gypsy moth feeding.

 

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