Bayesian Reliability Analysis of Series Systems of Binomial Subsystems and Components
作者:
H.F. Martz,
R.A. Wailer,
E.T. Fickas,
期刊:
Technometrics
(Taylor Available online 1988)
卷期:
Volume 30,
issue 2
页码: 143-154
ISSN:0040-1706
年代: 1988
DOI:10.1080/00401706.1988.10488361
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
关键词: Approximate prior;Bayesian probability bound;Binomial sampling;Beta prior
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
A Bayesian procedure is presented for estimating the reliability of a series system of independent binomial subsystems and components. The method considers either test or prior data (perhaps both or neither) at the system, subsystem, and component level. Beta prior distributions are assumed throughout. Inconsistent prior judgments are averaged within the simple-to-use procedure. The method is motivated by the following practical problem. It is required to estimate the overall reliability of a certain air-to-air heat-seeking missile system containing five major subsystems with up to nine components per subsystem. The posterior distribution of the overall missile-system reliability from which the required estimates are obtained is computed.
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