首页   按字顺浏览 期刊浏览 卷期浏览 Oil production, resource movement effects, and macroeconomic adjustment
Oil production, resource movement effects, and macroeconomic adjustment

 

作者: Charles Harvie,   Nadia Verrucci,  

 

期刊: International Journal of Energy Research  (WILEY Available online 1991)
卷期: Volume 15, issue 1  

页码: 57-69

 

ISSN:0363-907X

 

年代: 1991

 

DOI:10.1002/er.4440150108

 

出版商: Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company

 

关键词: Macroeconomic adjustment;Resource movement effect;Wage indexation;Numerical simulation

 

数据来源: WILEY

 

摘要:

AbstractThe paper is concerned with simulating the macroeconomic adjustment processes arising in a small open economy experiencing a temporary period of oil production. In a recent paper, Harvie conducted a similar exercise for an economy in which the spending effect arising from such oil production dominated the resource movement effect. That paper concluded that the wage adjustment processes operative were important in influencing the macroeconomic adjustment process arising. Specifically, that paper concluded that wage indexation was preferable during the period of oil production, but that de‐indexation was preferable in the post oil production period. Although, in the present paper, the principles underlying the simulated model are the same as in Harvie, the emphasis here is placed on the resource movement consequences arising from temporary oil production. The major conclusion identified is that wages policy is still important in influencing the macroeconomic adjustment processes identified. However, a difference arises not in regard to the profile of that adjustment but rather in its magnitude. The paper emphasizes, in particular, developments in non‐oil output, consumer prices, and the stock of domestically held foreign assets. The simulation results suggest that, where the resource movement effect dominates, it would be preferable to de‐index wages during the period of oil production and index wages in the post oil production period. Hence wages policy should be regarded as an important component of a government's policy response arising from a period of temporary oil production, irrespective of whether the resource movement or spending effect dominates. However, what that policy response should be would depend on the relative importance of either e

 

点击下载:  PDF (829KB)



返 回