An envelope function model for forecasting athletics records
作者:
G. R. Dargahi‐Noubary,
期刊:
Journal of Forecasting
(WILEY Available online 1994)
卷期:
Volume 13,
issue 1
页码: 11-20
ISSN:0277-6693
年代: 1994
DOI:10.1002/for.3980130103
出版商: John Wiley&Sons, Ltd.
关键词: Multiplicative model;Autocorrelation;Forecasting;Athletics records
数据来源: WILEY
摘要:
AbstractThe purpose of this paper is to present a multiplicative model for the fastest time per year in the 400‐ and 800‐metre races. It is composed of an envelope function and a stationary time series. The proposed model is plausible since there is dependency between the fastest times of successive years and because improvements are expected to be smaller now, as compared with several years ago. Data from the years 1860 to 1988 are used for illustrat
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