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Price Discovery Processes

 

作者: JEROME L. STEIN,  

 

期刊: Economic Record  (WILEY Available online 1992)
卷期: Volume 68, issue 1  

页码: 34-45

 

ISSN:0013-0249

 

年代: 1992

 

DOI:10.1111/j.1475-4932.1992.tb02294.x

 

出版商: Blackwell Publishing Ltd

 

数据来源: WILEY

 

摘要:

This paper analyzes two price discovery processes: OLS learning from public information and a Bayesian learning made feasible by futures markets. The former tends to produce cobweb behaviour. In the latter, there is no cobweb, there is a faster convergence to Muth Rational Expectations, and the forecast errors are positively serially correlated The evidence drawn from the Sydney Futures Exchange is consistent with the Bayesian learning process.

 

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