Model for Electric Energy Consumption in Eastern Saudi Arabia
作者:
AHMEDZ. AL-GARNI,
YAAGOUBN. AL-NASSAR,
SYEDM. ZUBAIR,
ABDALLAH AL-SHEHRI,
期刊:
Energy Sources
(Taylor Available online 1997)
卷期:
Volume 19,
issue 4
页码: 325-334
ISSN:0090-8312
年代: 1997
DOI:10.1080/00908319708908853
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
关键词: electric energy;forecasting;modeling
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
Electrical energy consumption in the eastern province of Saudi Arabia is modeled as a function of weather data, global solar radiation, population, and gross domestic product per capita. Fine years of data have been used to develop the energy consumption model. Variable selection in the regression model is carried out by using the general stepping-regression technique. Model adequacy is determined from a residual analysis technique. Model validation aims to determine if the model will function successfully in its intended operating field. In this regard, new energy consumption data for a sixth year are collected, and the results predicted by the regression model are compared with the new data set. Finally, the sensitivity of the model is examined. It is found that the model is strongly influenced by the ambient temperature.
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