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Stochastic analysis of a repairable system under fluctuating weather

 

作者: MANJU AGARWAL‡,   J. G. C. TEMPLETON,  

 

期刊: International Journal of Systems Science  (Taylor Available online 1990)
卷期: Volume 21, issue 10  

页码: 2019-2028

 

ISSN:0020-7721

 

年代: 1990

 

DOI:10.1080/00207729008910521

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

A one-unit repairable system operating under three types of weathers, normal, abnormal 1 and abnormal 2, is analysed. Weather changes from one type to another at different exponential rates. Failure time distributions of the system from all types of weathers are assumed to be exponential whereas repair time distributions are different and general. In order to account for the effects of weather changes during a repair, along with keeping the model computationally tractable, the repair time distributions are chosen as general Erlang-3 distributions which allow good approximation of a broad class of repair times. The system is analysed as a Markov process to find mean time to system failure (MTSF) and absorption probabilities, as a closed queueing network to obtain steady-state availability and as a M/G/I queueing model to evaluate mean repair time. The results are expressed in computationally tractable form. Some numerical computations have been done which help us to draw some significant conclusions.

 

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