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Application of adaptive fuzzy rule-based models for reconstruction of missing precipitation events

 

作者: A.J. ABEBE,   D.P. SOLOMATINE,   R.G. W. VENNEKER,  

 

期刊: Hydrological Sciences Journal  (Taylor Available online 2000)
卷期: Volume 45, issue 3  

页码: 425-436

 

ISSN:0262-6667

 

年代: 2000

 

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492339

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

This paper describes a fuzzy rule-based approach applied for reconstruction of missing precipitation events. The working rules are formulated from a set of past observations using an adaptive algorithm. A case study is carried out using the data from three precipitation stations in northern Italy. The study evaluates the performance of this approach compared with an artificial neural network and a traditional statistical approach. The results indicate that, within the parameter sub-space where its rules are trained, the fuzzy rule-based model provided solutions with low mean square error between observations and predictions. The problems that have yet to be addressed are overfitting and applicability outside the range of training data.

 

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