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Power-system planning under uncertainty—a new approach

 

作者: T.W.Berrie,  

 

期刊: Power Engineering Journal  (IET Available online 1987)
卷期: Volume 1, issue 2  

页码: 92-100

 

ISSN:1479-8344

 

年代: 1987

 

DOI:10.1049/pe:19870014

 

出版商: IEE

 

数据来源: IET

 

摘要:

Because of the long lead time between ordering equipment and commissioning, power-system planning has always catered explicitly for uncertainties. In the past, elaborate deterministic techniques have been used, but there are now doubts about whether the out-turn from such sophistication justifies the efforts required. Perhaps a more flexible, informal approach to both planning and uncertainty is the answer, e.g. to be able to alter course to take account of actual conditions; also, optimisation techniques might be changed. Unexpected power-system structures, reliability and loss levels, and also generation plant mixes, might well result, which are better for meeting actual requirements than those at present

 

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