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SECTORAL SHIFTS and CYCLICAL UNEMPLOYMENT: A RECONSIDERATION

 

作者: Thomas I. Palley,  

 

期刊: Economic Inquiry  (WILEY Available online 1992)
卷期: Volume 30, issue 1  

页码: 117-133

 

ISSN:0095-2583

 

年代: 1992

 

DOI:10.1111/j.1465-7295.1992.tb01539.x

 

出版商: Blackwell Publishing Ltd

 

数据来源: WILEY

 

摘要:

The debate over the relative importance of sectoral and aggregate shocks in explaining fluctuations in the aggregate unemployment rate has centered on the relationship between unemployment, job vacancies, and the dispersion of sectoral employment growth rates (which proxies for sectoral shocks). This paper examines some possible theoretical relationships between these variables, and, after decomposing unemployment into components attributable to sectoral and aggregate shocks, estimates the importance of each. It finds that fluctuations in unemployment are principally caused by aggregate shocks, but sectoral shifts explain a significant, albeit steady, amount of unemployment.

 

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