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Play the Winner Rule and the Controlled Clinical Trial

 

作者: M. Zelen,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1969)
卷期: Volume 64, issue 325  

页码: 131-146

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1969

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1969.10500959

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Consider a clinical trial to compare two treatments where response is dichotomous and patients enter the trial sequentially. This paper investigates the conduct of such a trial where the “Play the Winner Rule” (PWR) is used to assign patients to the different therapies. The implementation of the PWR in a clinical trial tends to place more patients on the better treatment. Both theoretical and numerical investigations show that over a wide range of situations this rule leads to near optimum results when used in a two-stage manner. Furthermore, these results are insensitive to optimum sample size requirements.

 

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