Play the Winner Rule and the Controlled Clinical Trial
作者:
M. Zelen,
期刊:
Journal of the American Statistical Association
(Taylor Available online 1969)
卷期:
Volume 64,
issue 325
页码: 131-146
ISSN:0162-1459
年代: 1969
DOI:10.1080/01621459.1969.10500959
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
Consider a clinical trial to compare two treatments where response is dichotomous and patients enter the trial sequentially. This paper investigates the conduct of such a trial where the “Play the Winner Rule” (PWR) is used to assign patients to the different therapies. The implementation of the PWR in a clinical trial tends to place more patients on the better treatment. Both theoretical and numerical investigations show that over a wide range of situations this rule leads to near optimum results when used in a two-stage manner. Furthermore, these results are insensitive to optimum sample size requirements.
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