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Informative Stopping Rules and Inferences about Population Size

 

作者: HarryV. Roberts,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1967)
卷期: Volume 62, issue 319  

页码: 763-775

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1967

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1967.10500893

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

It is a consequence of the likelihood principle that identical likelihood functions imply identical inferences. If the rule by which sample size is determined—the stopping rule—is reflected in the likelihood function, as it should be, apparently identical likelihood functions (without allowance for stopping rule) may in fact be different. This can happen if the stopping rules are informative. If the stopping rule is informative, the analysis must take the rule into account, and additional information may be recovered by so doing. Examples of informative stopping rules are given for two simple problems in estimation of the size of finite populations, and an illustrative Bayesian analysis is shown in each problem. Other informative stopping rules are briefly discussed.

 

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